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Archives for June 2007

What Price Unipolarity?

June 21, 2007 by Jon Frater Leave a Comment

In the interest of making genuine news available to anyone who wants it, I came across this article a short time ago and have decided to link it here.  It’s not so much that I believe every word that Putin says, so much as I despise censorship and I haven’t seen this stuff anywhere locally.

The upshot: the nuclear arms race between the U.S. and Russia is accelerating and the prospects for reducing it are grim.  The transcript of Valdamir Putin’s interview is there, and it hasn’t appeared anywhere in the main stream media that I can determine (though a couple of nifty articles about how Russia is "planning to aim nuclear missiles at Europe" have been widely distributed.)  I’m not here to analyze the contents, but you should read it and decide for yourself how close we are to actually seeing WWIII (in the now-oldskool MAD sense) in the next few years (maybe months, who the heck knows anymore?)  Matt Savinar did post a fair analysis of his own here, and while he may sound alarmist to some, I don’t think alarm is unwarranted.

When I was a kid, maybe 9 years old, I sat and watched a movie with my parents one summer night. The name of the movie was "On the Beach," which was more or less based on the book of the same name written by Nevil Shute.  The premise is grim: a full frontal nuclear exchange between the U.S. and U.S.S.R. wipes out the northern hemisphere and the fallout from all the weapons used wipes out all life on the planet.  The book takes place in Australia and while everyone there is going about their daily lives, they’re really just waiting to die as the fallout clouds travel south.

Shute’s weapons were juiced up for the book, laced with cobalt to produce higher-than usual  fallout content, which doesn’t work in real life.   The point was that WWIII = the Death of Planet Earth.  Even if the science was wrong, the image worked to communicate the message behind the words.  And it was an image that most people involved in the arms  race between us the the Russian subscribed to or at least had in the back of their minds when their words "nuclear war" came to mind.  God knows that’s how we civvies thought of it.

Clearly that image is gone from the minds of those who hold the power these days.  At any rate they are gone from the minds of those Americans currently running the show.  And to my mind, that can’t be good for anyone, because if twentieth century history tell us anything it tells us that you can’t bully Russia.  Stalin purged 30 million of his own people to satisfy his paranoid fantasies of assassination and later, his visions of an imminent invasion by Japan.  Putin, an ex-KGB guy, has eradicated entire towns in Chechnya in the name of counter-terrorism.  In the past we could trade with them, bribe them, and refuse to help at all if we thought we had nothing to gain, but we never actually bullied them.  (I realize that putting our defenses on high alert after they’d done the same is something else.)  The Russians are   the ones who absorbed the bulk of battlefield deaths in WWII and kept on going despite shortages of literally everything, including hope.  They are obstinate, observant, and fatalistic.  Point a knife at one and he’ll laugh at you because he knows that even if you kill him, a half dozen of his friends will find you and kill you in return.  Point 3,000 nuclear missiles at them and they’ll do whatever they think they have to just to make sure you don’t get to go the funeral.  (I admit being married into a Russian family by way of my sister-in-law might be coloring my views.)

Anyway, read the transcript, maybe spare a few minutes to wonder what comes next, and perhaps take a few precautions and make a few plans.  (I did.)

But if the world does not blow up in the near future, I’ll be starting as the new Tech Services Librarian at Metropolitan College of NY on Monday.  Wish me luck!

Filed Under: Articles & Nifty Links

Rushdie Still Driving Iran Nuts!

June 20, 2007 by Jon Frater Leave a Comment

Whether it made political sense for the Queen to elevate Salman Rushdie to knighthood at this particular time or not, I do not know.  In one sense, this is like throwing gasoline on a fire.  I do know that he’s been making the Imams in Iran crazy for over 20 years, which from a writer’s viewpoint, cannot be a bad thing.  (You know you’ve hit the Big Time when someone wants you dead.  Doesn’t matter who.)  In college we English majors all dreamed to getting onto as many hit lists as possible because of what we’d written, drawn, sculpted or put on film.  Rushdie was elevated to near-god status when his life was first threatened for writing the Satanic Verses.  If nothing else, it spurred dozens of us to immediately run out and buy the book.  Which is what I think you should do if you haven’t done it already.  (Click here.)

Filed Under: Current Events

Beware the Exaflood

June 6, 2007 by Jon Frater Leave a Comment

This comes from Bruce Mehlman and Larry Irving writing for the Sacramento Bee:

The exponential explosion of digital content on the Internet is
striking. YouTube.com alone consumes as much bandwidth today as the
entire Internet consumed in 2000. Users upload 65,000 new videos every
day and download 100 million files daily, a 1,000 percent increase from
just one year ago.

This explosion of new data comprises the "Exaflood" and we’d best start thinking about how to deal with it.  Ultimately, however, they see it as generally beneficial:

The impending exaflood of data is cause for excitement. It took two
centuries to fill the shelves of the Library of Congress with more than
57 million manuscripts, 29 million books and periodicals, 12 million
photographs, and more. Now, the world generates an equivalent amount of
digital information nearly 100 times each day. The explosion of digital
information and proliferation of applications promises great things for
our economy and our nation, as long as we are prepared.

I don’t disagree with the idea or it’s logic.  I do, however, question whether physical/social/economic limits to growth of the energy supplies needed to keep the infrastructure the exaflood would rely on will interfere with it’s coming about.   I also wonder how effectively indxing engines and such will be able to manage the new material in such quantity.  We’ll see.  Here’s to hoping for the best.

Filed Under: Articles & Nifty Links

Are You a “One-Eyed King?”

June 4, 2007 by Jon Frater Leave a Comment

There’s a maxim in life (the origin of which is in dispute) that you can never been too thin or too rich. In the world of IT, that maxim has a corollary: there is always someone out there who knows more (or less) about the subject than you do.  And because there is so much to learn and so little time in which to do it, much of one’s high tech education happens on the job or in a continuing education classroom.

Much of my own career in this field (including my time in Libraryland) has centered around being someone who can bridge the communication gap between so-called normal (non-techie) folk and IT people in what is generally a non-techie environment.  That’s a huge asset, because it’s gotten me the respect of my coworkers over the years, even if it sometimes seems to me like I’m the one-eyed man in the kingdom of the blind.

A case in point is this gentleman from England who apparently recently asked what a "website" was.  This is not usually a problem if one asks it in the presence of, say, IT people or family members. I bring it up only because the gentleman in question is a British High Court judge.  Given this fact, I need to bring up two more points with a bit more substance. First, remember that no matter how little you think you know about your PC, I promise there is someone out there who knows less than you do.

A more worrisome prospect is that others of this  judge’s level of knowledge will likely be making decisions about the legality of questions like this one.  Is it legal/ethical/moral for Apple to encode your purchase and user metadata into the tracks you download into iTunes, for instance?  Maybe.  Maybe not.  As a long time Mac freak I can tell you I am shocked and appalled at this kind of activity. (Shocked. And. Appalled.)  But decisions like that aren’t up to me.  I’d suggest that if you’re using P2P software to upload your song library to strangers, you might be putting yourself at some risk.  Will that stop anyone from doing it?  Maybe.  Maybe not.  I’m pretty sure I don’t make those decisions, either.  (But click here to see a well-argued word or two of advice.)

Filed Under: Nerd Alert

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